Insights October 1, 2026

Supply disruption powers up prices

Please find enclosed the latest edition of our PERSPECTIVES Viewpoint – designed to provide regular, up-to-date analysis of key trends in all the major asset classes.

Key takeaways 

  • Supply disruptions and geopolitical risks will keep energy markets volatile for some time. Over the longer term, trade flow adaptation points to lower oil prices, but European gas supply should remain tight through winter.
  • Precious metals retain diversification appeal, with central bank demand supporting gold. Silver offers potential upside from structural growth in some industries but expect volatility too.
  • Copper is likely to remain supported by electrification, AI infrastructure and constrained mine supply, despite still-weak Chinese construction and short-term uncertainty around US import tariffs.