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August 19, 2026
PERSPECTIVES Special August 2026 – Europe’s electricity price premium
Europe's electricity prices remain among the highest in the developed world, raising important questions about competitiveness, growth and the future of the region's energy system. But behind the challenge lies a significant investment theme
This PERSPECTIVES Special examines why Europe's electricity price premium is becoming increasingly structural rather than cyclical, the implications for inflation, industry and economic growth, and where investors may find opportunities as Europe invests in resilience, electrification and energy infrastructure.
Key takeaways
Contents
Conclusion
Europe’s electricity challenge is becoming increasingly structural. Winter Dunkelflaute and summer heat have exposed a range of vulnerabilities, not just those related to a higher share of renewables in total output. Achieving reliable electricity supply will increasingly depend on system resilience, including flexibility, storage, interconnection and resilient infrastructure. Electricity markets and, ultimately, consumers face two distinct challenges: short-term power-price volatility and the structural electricity price premium associated with maintaining a reliable system. The European electricity price premium is substantial.
Higher and more volatile energy costs have both macroeconomic and sectoral implications. Higher levels of inflation are just one: uncertainty around energy supply can also reduce investment and growth. External factors, notably El Niño, may amplify these implications.
For both firms and investors, Europe’s electricity price premium – and efforts to reduce it – creates both opportunities and challenges. Energy-intensive businesses face greater operating pressure, while firms with secure energy access, pricing power and flexibility should see tailwinds. Providers of grids, storage, cooling, energy management and resilient infrastructure gain a structural growth opportunity.34
Ultimately, the key investment question is not whether Europe's electricity price premium disappears. Some level of premium may prove to be a persistent feature of a system designed around security, decarbonisation and resilience. The more important question is whether Europe can ensure that the substantial capital committed to grids, storage, flexibility and low-carbon generation narrows the competitiveness gap over time. Success would strengthen industrial resilience and create one of the world's largest infrastructure investment opportunities. Failure would risk reinforcing the very premium that Europe is seeking to overcome.
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Authors: Markus Müller, Chief Investment Officer for Sustainability & Global Head of CIO Office - Daniel Sacco, Investment Officer EMEA
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